College Hoops’ Statistical Trends


Linked below is a good piece from ESPN’s John Gasaway on how the quality of play in the college has never been higher despite the scandals that surround the sport. Gasaway’s commentary focuses on three statistics: an uptick in 3-pointers attempted; a decrease in the least efficient shot in hoops, the 2-point jumper; a downward tick in foul rate. Good article for the analytics crowd. Ken Pomeroy had a similar article that was posted behind The Athletic’s paywall. In his piece, Pomeroy made the bold prediction that the three-year surge in 3-point attempts would begin to taper off, cited the rise in free throw shooting and the decline of home-court advantage.

The NBA and the college game encompass different cultures, different attitudes and, of course, vastly different business models and conceptions of eligibility. So how come the statistical trends in both versions of basketball have tracked each other with a fair degree of stylistic kinship over the past five years?

GASAWAY’S FULL ARTICLE (FREE)

POMEROY’S FULL ARTICLE ($$$)

For more on analytics:
-My appearance on Dave Klatsky’s “Statchat” podcast (LINK)
-Analytics: Three-point defense (LINK)
-Ken Pomeroy on missing box score data (LINK)
-The power of lineup analytics (LINK)
-Paul Weir recharges the Lobos (LINK)

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